Doomsday Scenarios, Conspiracy Theories, and Psychology

Gas mask sitting on cementSince the beginning of recorded history, people have been forecasting the end of the world. In biblical times, many people believed that Jesus would return in a few short years, and religions throughout the world have cautioned people to repent and prepare for the end of days for as long as there have been religions.

In modern times, with science gaining popular acceptance and doomsday scenarios falling outside the mainstream, such beliefs can seem highly unorthodox. But the Daily Mail reports that 22% of Americans believe the world will end in their lifetime, and the belief that a religious figure will return to “save” a chosen few is still commonplace. The National Geographic Channel has dedicated a popular television series to people who believe the world may soon end: Doomsday Preppers follows individuals—sometimes referred to as survivalists—and their families as they plan and prepare for the end of civilization.

Psychology can offer some insight into this phenomenon.

Risk and Preparedness
We live in an increasingly complex and often frightening world. Massive tsunamis can kill thousands, and electrical outages can cripple a city, state, or country. The threat of nuclear war is omnipresent, and protests around the world can make government and order seem increasingly unstable. Many people actively fear the prospect of terrorist attacks, pandemics, fuel shortages, and societal or economic collapse.

Most people prepare to some degree for “what-if” scenarios. People buy flood insurance, swarm the grocery store before a storm, and buy generators to ensure their businesses can keep running if there’s a power outage. The difference between those who take it to the extreme—such as doomsday preppers—and those who simply plan for a rainy day may simply be a matter of degree.

Trauma and Experience
People who believe in conspiracies and doomsday scenarios likely would caution that, if they’re right, they don’t look so strange after all. And when a person’s experiences are taken into account, their worries may even seem justified. A person who has experienced war might be more frightened that war could end the world, while trauma victims and people with posttraumatic stress may have more difficulty assessing risk.

Belief Systems
People tend to accept evidence that supports their belief systems and ignore evidence that doesn’t—a phenomenon called confirmation bias. In some cases, people may believe conspiracy theories because these theories support their most fundamental or earliest-established beliefs. A person whose mother claims to have been kidnapped by aliens might, for example, fervently cling to a belief in aliens because believing in aliens allows him to believe his mother. A highly religious person who believes she experienced a prophecy that the world will soon end is unlikely to abandon such a belief because doing so undermines her religious experience.

Once a doomsday scenario or conspiracy theory becomes part of a person’s belief system, he or she is unlikely to abandon it even in the face of conflicting evidence. This isn’t unique to doomsday preppers. We all have things we believe without evidence, sometimes even in the face of contradictory evidence.

Mental Health Conditions
Some people who believe in conspiracy theories and end-of-days scenarios may be experiencing a mental health issue. Conditions that can contribute to such beliefs include:

  • Schizophrenia, which can result in delusions and hallucinations that could convince a person the end of the world is near or that an entity is out to get him or her.
  • Paranoid personality disorder, which manifests as constant suspicion, often in the form of fear of the government.
  • Persecutory delusion, which may cause a person to believe that another person or entity is out to get him or her and will not stop until harm is done.

References:

  1. Cruz, N. (2012, April 3). National Geographic’s troubling, addictive show about survivalists. Slate. Retrieved from http://www.slate.com/blogs/browbeat/2012/04/03/doomsday_preppers_on_national_geographic_is_the_survivalist_reality_show_exploitative_.html
  2. Guyatt, N. (2007). Have a nice doomsday: Why millions of Americans are looking forward to the end of the world. New York, NY: Harper Perennial.
  3. Hanlon, C. (2012, May 2). 22% of Americans believe world will end in their lifetime (and 10% think the apocalypse is coming this year). Mail Online. Retrieved from http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2138449/The-end-nigh–Americans-think-world-end-year.html

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  • 16 comments
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  • Koaki

    November 20th, 2012 at 11:32 AM

    Good posting and I look forward to reading future ones.

  • Ron Peters

    November 20th, 2012 at 1:49 PM

    While I do not want to comment on religion,a vast majority of these people who talk about the world ending do so just cause.Its more of a trend or fad for these people than belief or something that they have reached after some analysis.They do and say so because that is the cool thing to do,nothing else.

  • Kim

    August 28th, 2018 at 10:35 AM

    Ron, so you are saying that our government isn’t allowing the illegal spraying of chemicals on all of us and it’s changing our weather . You’re saying it’s a trend to try to wake ignorant people up to the fact that we are F****** up when we allow the shadow government to run things behind the scenes and its more like organized crime. There’s no constitution upheld with shadow government. Shadow government is just a idea in my head? It’s just me wanting to be cool that we aren’t allowed to see the rulers of the world, the elite ones. The satanist. Those who are all the death and distraction in our lives! What we do get to see running things only are the ones who are playing the role as president Vice President and so on. You think it’s a trend to cool and be told your crazy when you know very well you’re not? I believe that our government is many years ahead of us and you can’t even wrap your brain around how advanced they actually are. The narcissist heads of countries laugh at you for buying into articles like this meant to keep people in the dark and divided. Look around. USE YOUR HEAD. Think for yourself. I realize the chemtrails have been sprayed more in the last few months than at any time before since it started. But try to open your mind to things that evidence has proven is really happening.

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